दोस्तों शेयर मार्केट में पिछले कुछ समय से चल रही इस गिरावट के माहौल में एक पॉजिटिव संकेत मिल चुका है जो की इंडिया से नहीं बल्कि विदेशों की रेटिंग एजेंसी की ओर से है, आज हम इसी के बारे में चर्चा करेंगे कि क्या सोमवार को शेयर मार्केट में तेजी 📈 देखने को मिल सकती है और इसके पीछे क्या कारण हैं?
China ke stimulus package ke chalte wahan ka market attract ho raha hai, aur India se paisa nikalkar wahan shift ho raha hai.
Rupee ka dollar ke comparison mein weak hona, jo ki import aur inflation ko badha raha hai.
Crude oil ki price barh rahi hai, jo economy ke liye ek major concern hai.
Maharashtra ke upcoming elections ke karan political uncertainty market ko impact kar rahi hai.
Q2 ke kharab results, jismein kai bade companies ke expected numbers achhe nahi aaye.
Is combination ne market ke sentiments ko kaafi weak kar diya hai. Lekin, abhi recent developments mein kuch positive news bhi dekhne ko mil rahi hai, jo ki market ke liye ek “hope ki kirn” ho sakti hai.
Aayiye detail mein samajhte hain un developments ko jo market ko support kar sakti hain. 🚀
1. Moody’s ki Positive Commentary 🌟
Moody’s, jo duniya ki ek renowned rating agency hai, usne apni latest report mein Indian economy ke liye bahut positive outlook diya hai. Moody’s ka kehna hai ki:
Indian economy ek sweet spot par hai, jahan solid growth aur inflation ka perfect balance dekhne ko milega.
GDP growth ka forecast 2024 mein 7.2% ka diya gaya hai, jo ki kaafi impressive hai.
2025 aur 2026 ke liye growth 6.6% aur 6.5% hone ka expectation hai, jo Indian economy ki strength ko dikhata hai.
Haan, abhi ke short term data mein inflation kaafi upar hai (6%+), lekin Moody’s ka maanna hai ki Q3 tak inflation normal ho jayegi aur economic situation stabilize hone lagegi.
👉 Yeh report FIIs ke liye ek strong signal ho sakti hai, jo ab market mein phir se investment karna shuru kar sakte hain.
2. CLSA ne India ke liye overweight stance rakha 🤝
Global research firm CLSA ne apne recent report mein India ka allocation 20% overweight kiya hai. Iska matlab hai ki wo India ke market ko ab China ke comparison mein zyada attractive maan rahe hain.
CLSA ka kehna hai ki abhi tak FIIs ne 1.2 lakh crore ka outflow kiya tha, lekin ab wo wapas India mein interest lena shuru kar sakte hain.
Nifty ka all-time high se 10% correction ho chuka hai, jo is market ko phir se attractive bana raha hai.
Unka ek aur interesting observation yeh tha:
“Donald Trump ki wapsi agar hoti hai, toh China ke liye trade war ka pressure badh jayega, jo India ke liye ek indirect advantage ho sakta hai.”
China ke context mein CLSA ka yeh kehna hai ki:
China mein deflation ka pressure hai.
Property market aur real estate investments kaafi weak hai.
Long-term growth ke prospects bhi filhal subdued hai.
👉 Isliye foreign investors ke liye India kaafi better aur stable option lagta hai.
3. Jefferies ka Bharosa 📈
Jefferies, ek aur badi financial advisory firm, ne bhi Indian economy ke liye positive baatein kahi hain:
Unhone pehle China ka weightage badhaya tha aur India ka kam kiya tha. Lekin, ab jab unse poocha gaya ki Trump ki policies India ko impact karegi ya nahi, toh unhone clearly kaha:
“India par Trump ki policies ka koi major negative impact nahi hoga.”
Unhone yeh bhi add kiya ki India ke domestic inflows (DIIs) kaafi strong hain, jo market ko stability de rahe hain.
Indian economy ki internal strength (jaise consumption aur domestic demand) hi uski sabse badi advantage hai.
👉 Yeh confidence batata hai ki Indian market ka future kaafi promising hai.
Market Mein Positivity Ke Indicators 🚀
In sabhi factors ko dekha jaye, toh kuch strong indicators hain jo market ko upar le ja sakte hain:
1. Foreign investors ka trust wapas aana: Moody’s aur CLSA jaise firms ka confidence dekhte hue FIIs wapas Indian market mein entry le sakte hain.
2. DIIs ka consistent support: Domestic investors (mutual funds aur retail investors) lagataar market ko support kar rahe hain, jo girawat ke time pe buffer ka kaam karta hai.
3. China ke challenges: China ki current economic problems (deflation, real estate crisis) ke comparison mein India kaafi stable aur growth-oriented lagta hai.
Kya Karein Iss Market Mein? 💡
Dheere-dheere invest karein: Abhi market ek correction phase mein hai, lekin yeh girawat long-term investors ke liye ek achha opportunity ho sakti hai.
Blue-chip stocks par focus karein: Aise stocks choonein jo strong fundamentals ke saath future growth promise karte hain.
Diversify karein: Apne portfolio ko different sectors aur asset classes mein divide karke risk ko kam karein.
FIIs aur DIIs ke flow par nazar rakhein: Yeh indicators aapko market ke direction ka signal de sakte hain.
Conclusion: Ek naye Uday ki Shuruaat 🌈
Halanki abhi market ka sentiment weak hai, lekin Moody’s, CLSA aur Jefferies ki reports clearly batati hain ki long-term mein Indian economy ki growth story intact hai. FIIs ka wapas aana aur DIIs ka support market ko upar le ja sakta hai.
Yeh girawat ek opportunity ho sakti hai un logon ke liye jo long-term wealth creation mein believe karte hain.
Ab sawal yeh hai ki aap iss market mein kya karenge? 🚀
Samajhdari se invest kariye, patience rakhiye aur apne financial goals ke saath jude rahiye. 📊💰
Padhne ke liye dhanyavaad! 😊🙏
Apne vichar aur feedback comment section mein zarur share karein. 👇✨
